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The odds in 2024 heavily against NPP; it’ll be tough to win


Member of Parliament for Assin Central Kennedy Ohene Agyapong has said the odds in the 2024 election is against his own party the New Patriotic Party (NPP).

Speaking in a Metro TV interview transcribed by, the NPP said the 2024 elections will be tough for the NPP because of the 8-year convention where the political parties change parties.

In 2024, Ghana would have had a combined thirty-two years of democratic governance between the two major political parties in the fourth republic. The New Patriotic Party (NPP) like the National Democratic Congress (NDC) would have each done sixteen years of two consecutive terms of an eight-year administration under various presidents.

Kennedy Agyapong believes “sloganeering” Break the 8 etc is not what will work but proper action and planning.

“I will say the odds are against NPP in 2024. Yes, because of the 8 year system Ghanaians usually change government after 8 year so it will not be easy at all. It is possible but the odds are against NPP in 2024. That’s a fact.”

He explained that the 2024 election will be for NDC to lose.

On who he will support in NPP 2023 Primaries, Kennedy Agyapong said it is too early to declare support for any of the persons  who want to replace Akufo-Addo.

On the 8 year system, a Treasurer of NPP USA Emmanuel Kwame Darko said breaking the 8 is a feat that would be the first of its kind, and unique to any political party in our history as a country. But until that is done and given the historical trend, it is natural for any political observer to forecast a defeat for an NPP administration in the 2024 Presidential General Election.

Unlike the NDC that has provided three presidents in sixteen years, the NPP under Nana Addo in 2024 would have provided two presidents. As such, the electorates and constituents would have an inflection point to decide between the performance of NDC administrations (1993 to 2000 and 2009 to 2016) and NPP administrations (2001 to 2008 and 2017 to 2024). Consequently, 2024 is a focal point for NPP to break the eight- year rule by any political party, thus, setting a record of a 12-year NPP administration culminating in a combined twenty years of political power in the Fourth Republic.

However, the NPP can set the record of breaking the eight-year rule by handing over power to itself to continue the transformational agenda beyond 2024. The 2024 election is thus as important as the 2008, where NPP and Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo- Addo were surprisingly disappointed with an ‘avoidable’ defeat if the ruling NPP government and party machinery were careful with their politicking.

The “Break the 8” is not only a message on a flyer to share or mere talk but also an actionable message that requires intended efforts to achieve. In my humble opinion, these are some of the actions that would help the NPP government and party to retain power in 2024 and beyond:


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